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VELARION
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VELARION
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Position sizing, R:R analysis & portfolio risk management
Manual entry/stop per instrument — portfolio risk aggregation
Kalkuluj lot size dla wielu sygnałów jednocześnie
Dollar risk per trade: $100.00
Compute lot size from risk parameters in real time
Risk Amount
$100.00
1.0% of $10,000
Position Size
0.00 lots
Standard lots (1 lot = 100,000 units)
Units
0
lots × 100,000
Pip Difference
0.00 pts
|Entry − Stop Loss| · pip value: $10/pip/lot
Margin Required
$0.00
(Entry × Units) ÷ Leverage 1:100
R:R hint: If TP = entry + 2 × (stop distance) → RR 1:2. Current stop distance: 0.00 pts. Target for 1:2 RR: —
ATR-based exposure tracking for XAUUSD (ATR estimate: 50 pts)
Total Exposure
0.0%Max Position
$4
per trade
Total Exposure
$4
1 pos.
Remaining
$9996
capacity
Optimal bet fraction based on edge and risk/reward
Formula
f* = W − (1−W) / R= 0.65 − (1−0.65) / 2.00 = 47.50%
High Kelly % — consider using Half or Quarter Kelly to reduce volatility of returns.
Full Kelly
Aggressive — theoretical optimum
Half Kelly
Recommended — practical optimum
Quarter Kelly
Conservative — capital preservation
Win / Loss Ratio (R)
2.00:1
What is Kelly Criterion?
The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula that determines the optimal fraction of capital to risk on each trade to maximise long-term geometric growth. It balances the trade-off between growing capital quickly and avoiding ruin — too little undersizes your edge, too much risks catastrophic drawdowns. Most professional traders use Half Kelly or Quarter Kelly to account for estimation error in win rate and average win/loss figures.
Simulate consecutive losses to understand drawdown impact
Dollar Risk
$0.00
Position Size (units)
0.00
Position Size (lots)
0.000
Stop Distance
0.00 pts
Risk
0.00 pts
Reward
0.00 pts
R:R Ratio
1 : 0.00
Break-even Win %
0.0%
Full Kelly %
—
Recommended: Half-Kelly = —
Kelly Criterion: f = W - (1-W)/R where W=win rate, R=win/loss ratio
| Trade | Size | Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | Risk % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions tracked | ||||||
Never risk more than 1% of your account on a single trade. This ensures you can survive 100 consecutive losses.
Stop trading for the day when daily losses reach 6%. This prevents emotional revenge trading and protects capital.
Reduce position size by 50% when trading correlated pairs (e.g., EURUSD + GBPUSD) to avoid hidden overexposure.
Reduce position sizes by 50% when account drawdown exceeds 10%. Return to normal sizing after recovery.
Max Position Size
90.91
units / 0.91 lots
Suggested SL Distance
1500.00
points / pips
Max Simultaneous Trades
2
at current risk/trade
Max Drawdown
-4.2%
Avg Monthly
-0.9%
Recovery Factor
1.3x
Formula: Lots = (Account × Risk%) ÷ (SL pips × $10/pip) | Highlighted columns = recommended 1–2% zone
| Account | 0.5% | 1%sweet spot | 1.5%sweet spot | 2%sweet spot | 3% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1k | 0.01lots | 0.02lots | 0.03lots | 0.04lots | 0.06lots |
| $5k | 0.05lots | 0.10lots | 0.15lots | 0.20lots | 0.30lots |
| $10k | 0.10lots | 0.20lots | 0.30lots | 0.40lots | 0.60lots |
| $25k | 0.25lots | 0.50lots | 0.75lots | 1.00lots | 1.50lots |
| $50k | 0.50lots | 1.00lots | 1.50lots | 2.00lots | 3.00lots |
| $100k | 1.00lots | 2.00lots | 3.00lots | 4.00lots | 6.00lots |
p
—
Win Rate
b×L
$240
Avg Win
L
$120
Avg Loss
b
2.0:1
R:R Ratio
f* = (p × b − q) / b→(0.65 × 2.0 − 0.35) / 2.0 = 0.4750= 47.5%47.50%
Aggressive — high volatility
23.75%
Recommended — practical optimum
11.88%
Conservative — capital preservation
Risk recommendation: Never risk more than Half Kelly (23.75% of account) per trade.
Kelly criterion is theoretical maximum — practical traders use 1/4 to 1/2 Kelly to account for estimation errors and sequence-of-loss risk. Most prop traders stay at 1–2% fixed risk.
Account: $100,000
Daily Limit
5%
Total Limit
10%
Target
10%
Account: $50,000
Daily Limit
5%
Total Limit
12%
Target
8%
Account: $25,000
Daily Limit
4%
Total Limit
8%
Target
6%
Rules Compliant
4/4
Trades Left
2
Complete before every trade entry
$10,000 account · 1% risk/trade · 4 weeks/month
Assumptions
Monthly P&L
—
—
Annual Projection
—
—
Assumptions
Monthly P&L
—
—
Annual Projection
—
—
Assumptions
Monthly P&L
—
—
Annual Projection
—
—
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Calculations assume consistent execution and do not account for slippage, commissions, or variance.
Find your TP based on SL size and target RR ratio
| SL \ RR | 1:1 · Low | 1:2 · Good | 1:3 · Excellent | 1:5 · Excellent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 pips SL | 10 pips TP | 20 pips TP | 30 pips TP | 50 pips TP |
| 20 pips SL | 20 pips TP | 40 pips TP | 60 pips TP | 100 pips TP |
| 30 pips SL | 30 pips TP | 60 pips TP | 90 pips TP | 150 pips TP |
| 50 pips SL | 50 pips TP | 100 pips TP | 150 pips TP | 250 pips TP |
Key limits for 4 major prop trading firms
| Firm | Max Daily DD | Max Total DD | Profit Target | Max Size | News | Weekend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FTMOPOPULAR | 5% | 10% | 10% | 100 lots | NO | YES |
MFF | 4% | 8% | 8% | 50 lots | NO | NO |
TFF | 4% | 8% | 10% | 100 lots | YES | YES |
Apex | 3% | 6% | 7% | 25 lots | NO | NO |
Rules may change. Always verify directly with the firm before trading. Data is approximate and for reference only.
Estimated probability of blowing account (50-trade sample, 1:1.5 avg RR)
| Win Rate \ Risk/Trade | 1% Risk | 2% Risk | 3% Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40% Win Rate | 18% ruin prob. | 45% ruin prob. | 72% ruin prob. |
| 50% Win Rate | 2% ruin prob. | 12% ruin prob. | 34% ruin prob. |
| 60% Win Rate | 0% ruin prob. | 1% ruin prob. | 8% ruin prob. |
At 2% risk with a 50% win rate, your estimated risk of ruin is 12%. Drop to 1% risk to reduce it to just 2%.
Complete before each session
0/10
NOT READY
NOT READY
Too many conditions unmet. Step back and reassess before trading.
Optimal partial-close strategy comparison
$3,000
Entry
$3,030
TP1 +30pts
$3,060
TP2 +60pts
$3,100
TP3 +100pts
$2,975
SL -25pts
50%
TP1 +30pts
30%
TP2 +60pts
20%
TP3 +100pts
33%
TP1 +30pts
33%
TP2 +60pts
34%
TP3 +100pts
Hold 100% to TP3 or SL
All-or-nothing approach
Breakeven rule: After closing 50% at TP1, move SL to breakeven — remaining 50% is risk-free and can run to TP2/TP3 without drawdown risk.
Account $10,000 · Risk 1% ($100)
Educational only. Always recalculate position size for each trade — never use fixed lots. Pip/point values vary by broker and account currency.
Consecutive losses impact — starting balance $10,000
Aggressive risk (5%) destroys accounts. After 20 consecutive losses only $3,585 remains — a 64.1% drawdown. Even a 40% win rate cannot recover from this.
Follow these rules every session — no exceptions, no excuses
Never risk more than 2% per trade
CRITICALA 2% cap means 50 consecutive losses are needed to wipe out — virtually impossible with any edge.
Always use a stop loss — no exceptions
CRITICALWithout a defined exit, a single trade can spiral into an account-ending loss.
Risk:Reward minimum 1:1.5 or better
CRITICALEven a 40% win rate is profitable at 1:2 RR; below 1:1.5 math works against you over time.
Max 5% total open risk at once
CRITICALCorrelated markets can move together — capping total exposure prevents catastrophic simultaneous losses.
Don't average down losing trades
CRITICALAdding to a loser increases risk on an already invalidated thesis — a classic account-killer habit.
Take partial profits at TP1
IMPORTANTLocking in gains at TP1 removes pressure and lets the remainder run stress-free.
Move SL to breakeven after 1R profit
IMPORTANTA breakeven stop converts every subsequent moment into a free trade with no capital at risk.
No trading during major news (30 min before/after)
IMPORTANTSpreads widen and slippage spikes around high-impact news, making stop placement unreliable.
Daily loss limit: 3% — stop for the day
IMPORTANTEmotional deterioration after multiple losses leads to revenge trading and exponentially larger losses.
Weekly loss limit: 6% — take a break
GOODSustained drawdowns impair judgment; mandatory breaks preserve capital and mental clarity.
Sample entry — XAUUSD BUY trade
Journal every trade — winners AND losers. Pattern recognition improves over time and reveals your true edge.
Click a section to expand — your mindset is part of your edge
Size your position based on conviction level
Enter full position immediately at signal bar close.
Risk on $10K
$200(2%)
Enter 50% now. Add remaining 50% on confirmation candle.
Risk on $10K
$100(1%)
Small test position only. Do not add unless setup improves.
Risk on $10K
$50(0.5%)
Golden Rule: Never trade more than 2% risk regardless of conviction. No single trade should threaten your account.
Scaling Rule: Scale IN to winners (add to profitable positions), scale OUT of losers (reduce losing positions immediately).
Click a phase to expand \u2014 managing open trades defines long-term P&L
12-month compounding projection starting from $10,000
Month
| Month | Conservative | Moderate | Aggressive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | $10.3K | $10.6K | $11.0K |
| Month 6 | $11.9K | $14.2K | $17.7K |
| Month 12 | $14.3K | $20.1K | $31.4K |
"Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world." He who understands it, earns it; he who does not, pays it.
Consistency Rule: A steady 6% monthly beats +20% one month followed by −10% the next. Protect your downside \u2014 the upside takes care of itself.
| Pair | Avg Daily Range | Min SL | Key News Events | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAUUSD | 28 pts | 20-30 pts | US CPI, NFP — avoid during release | HIGH |
| EURUSD | 70 pips | 15 pips | ECB rate decisions, Fed FOMC | MODERATE |
| GBPUSD | 90 pips | 20 pips | BoE decisions, UK CPI/GDP | HIGH |
| USDJPY | 80 pips | 15 pips | BoJ policy, intervention risk | MODERATE |
| BTCUSD | $2,000+ | $200 | Avoid weekends, regulatory news | VERY HIGH |
| USOIL | $1.50 | $0.50 | EIA supply data, OPEC meetings | HIGH |
High-impact news rule: Close or reduce positions 5 minutes before scheduled news releases. Spreads widen 3-10x during releases and stops may not be honoured at stated prices (slippage risk).
Max Daily Loss
5%
Max Total Loss
10%
Recommended Risk
1% per trade
Win Rate Needed
70%+ win rate required
SWING signals only — higher quality, lower frequency
Aim for 15-20 signals over the period. Do NOT over-trade to chase targets.
Approaching 3% daily loss — STOP trading for the day immediately.
Max Daily Loss
5%
Max Total Loss
10%
Recommended Risk
0.5-1% per trade
Win Rate Needed
65%+ win rate required
Continue SWING signals; add selective INTRADAY if drawdown allows
Reduce risk to 0.5% if within 3% of drawdown limit. Consistency beats performance here.
More than 2 consecutive losses — mandatory 24-hour break before next trade.
Max Daily Loss
5%
Max Total Loss
10%
Recommended Risk
1-2% per trade
Win Rate Needed
60%+ sustainable win rate
All timeframes allowed; prioritize SWING for quarterly payout optimization
Scale up only after 3 consecutive profitable months. Request payout quarterly to lock gains.
Drawdown exceeds 6% in any single month — revert to 0.5% risk immediately.
Golden Rule: Consistency over big wins — prop firms want steady, disciplined traders. A +2% steady week is more valuable than a +8% blow-up week followed by -6%.
Calculate position size BEFORE looking at the chart
Prevents emotional sizing bias. Decide your risk in dollars first, then find the trade.
Account for spread in your SL calculation
Add the current spread to your SL distance. Especially critical on XAUUSD and GBPUSD.
Use ATR-based stops, not round numbers
Round-number stops (2650.00, 2700.00) are where the market hunts liquidity. Use structure.
Never risk more because "this signal looks perfect"
The best-looking setups fail. Stick to your pre-defined risk. Every. Single. Trade.
Document every position size calculation in your journal
Reviewing your sizing decisions reveals patterns and prevents repeated mistakes.
Quick Reference — Risk in Dollars
| Account Size | 0.5% Risk | 1% Risk | 2% Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | $5 | $10 | $20 |
| $5,000 | $25 | $50 | $100 |
| $10,000 | $50 | $100 | $200 |
| $25,000 | $125 | $250 | $500 |
| $50,000 | $250 | $500 | $1,000 |
"Your position size is more important than your entry price." A perfect entry with oversized position will destroy your account. A mediocre entry with correct sizing lets you survive and adapt.
2% Rule
Never risk more than 2% of account on a single trade.
1:2 Minimum RR
Only take trades with at least 1:2 RR ratio. Ensures profitability at 40% win rate.
5% Daily Loss Limit
Stop trading after losing 5% of account. Prevents revenge trading spirals.
10% Monthly Drawdown Cap
Reduce size by 50% after 10% monthly drawdown. Scale back in only after recovery.
Max 3 Concurrent Positions
Limit open trades to 3. Correlated positions multiply actual risk exposure.
Size Down After Loss
After 2 losses, cut size 50% until you win 2 consecutive trades.
No Averaging Down
Never add to a losing position. Each addition compounds loss exposure.
Move SL to Break-Even at 1R
At 1R profit, move stop to entry. Converts losing trades to scratch.
Risk Fixed Dollar Not Percent
Calculate risk in dollar terms first, then derive lot size.
Review Weekly
Review all trades weekly. Track expectancy, win rate, avg RR.
A 50% drawdown requires a 100% gain to recover — most traders never do. Keep drawdowns under 20%.
Kelly: 5.3%
~5% Full Kelly
OPTIMALKelly: 5.3%
At Full Kelly
MODERATEKelly: 5.3%
Over Kelly
OVERKILLKelly: 12.5%
~8% Full Kelly
OPTIMALKelly: 12.5%
At Full Kelly
MODERATEKelly: 12.5%
Over Kelly
OVERKILLKelly: 20%
~5% Full Kelly
OPTIMALKelly: 20%
~10% Full Kelly
MODERATEKelly: 20%
At Full Kelly
OVERKILLUse 25–50% of Full Kelly to reduce volatility. Optimal cells show where your risk level is well below Kelly — giving you edge with safety margin.
Interactive sizing: Win Rate + Risk/Reward sliders. Formula: f* = (W × R − (1−W)) / R
Formula
f* = (W × R − (1 − W)) / R= (0.55 × 2.0 − (1 − 0.55)) / 2.0 = 32.50%
Full Kelly > 20% — too aggressive. Use Half Kelly (16.3%) or Quarter Kelly (8.1%) instead.
Recommended Position Size (Half Kelly)
Half Kelly (recommended)
Full Kelly
Aggressive — theoretical maximum
Half Kelly
Recommended — practical optimum
Quarter Kelly
Conservative — capital preservation
Manual open-position risk table — color-coded: green <1%, amber 1–2%, red >2%
Portfolio Summary
Total Risk $
$0.00
Total Risk %
0.00%
Open Positions
1
High Risk Pos.
0
Simulate consecutive losses — find your danger zone before it finds you
Balance after 5 losses
$9039.21
Lost: $960.79 (9.61%)
Trades Needed to Recover
6 trades
Must gain 10.6% at 2% risk/trade (1:1 RR assumed)
Danger Zone Threshold
$9000.00
Stop trading after 6 losses at current risk
Consecutive Loss Impact Table
After 1 loss
SAFE$9800
98.0% remaining
After 3 losses
SAFE$9412
94.1% remaining
After 5 losses
SAFE$9039
90.4% remaining
After 10 losses
CAUTION$8171
81.7% remaining
Verify your risk settings comply with prop firm limits before trading
Compliance Status
COMPLIANT1.0% risk
= $1000.00 per trade on $100,000 account
Max Trades Today (before daily limit)
5 trades
Before hitting $5000 daily limit (5%)
1 trade consumes 20.0% of daily budget
Total Account Risk Budget
10 trades
Before hitting $10000 max drawdown (10%)
Daily Limit $
$5000
Total Limit $
$10000
Risk per Trade $
$1000
Trades Allowed
5
5-scenario account growth projection based on win rate variance
Best Case
WR 65%
$16.0k
+60.4%
Good Case
WR 60%
$14.9k
+48.9%
Base Case
WR 55%
$13.8k
+38.3%
Bad Case
WR 50%
$12.8k
+28.3%
Worst Case
WR 45%
$11.9k
+19.1%
Each scenario uses the geometric growth formula: Balance = Initial × (W×(1+win%) + L×(1−loss%))^N. Best/Good/Bad/Worst cases shift win rate by ±5%/±10%. No random variance — deterministic projection.
Probability of account hitting zero — analytical formula
e.g. 20 = 20 risk units (if risking 1% per trade, N = 100 for full account)
Formula
A = (W×avgWin − L×avgLoss) / avgLossP(ruin) = ((1−A) / (1+A))^NEdge A = 0.6500 · Ratio = 0.2121
Probability of Ruin
<0.01%
LOW RISKWith 55% win rate, 2% avg win, 1% avg loss, and 20 capital units
Ruin prob. at different capital levels
Find maximum allowed lot size from balance, risk %, stop loss pips and asset type
Formula
Max lots = Risk$ ÷ (SL pips × Pip value/lot)= $100.00 ÷ (50 × $100.00) = 0.0200 lots
Pip value: $10/pip per 0.10 lot
Max Position
0.02lots
Gold — 50 pip SL — 1.0% risk
Breakdown
Visual price ladder — red risk zone, green reward zone, R:R and breakeven win rate
R:R Ratio
1 : 2.00
Pips at Risk
20.00
Pips Potential
40.00
Breakeven Win Rate
33.3%
This trade requires a 33.3% win rate to be profitable long-term at 1:2.00 R:R. Excellent setup — edge even below 50% win rate.
Price Ladder
Reward
+40.0
pips
R:R
1:2.0
Risk
-20.0
pips
Break-even
33%
win rate
Simulate worst-case simultaneous loss scenarios
Risk per Trade
$100.00
Loss per Trade
$100.00
Blended Max Loss
$300.00
3.0% of account
Sequential Streak
$300.00
Loss at different correlation levels
Max loss (3.0%) is within safe threshold (<20%). Risk parameters are acceptable.
Kelly Criterion position sizing with growth projection
Expected Value
+37.50%
Breakeven WR
40.0%
Maximum theoretical — very aggressive
$2500
position size
Balanced growth vs. drawdown
$1250
position size
Conservative — prop firm safe
$625
position size
Full Kelly is very aggressive (>25%). Use Quarter Kelly.
Your risk cap (2%)
$200.00
Full Kelly ($2500) exceeds your risk cap — use capped amount instead.
Account growth over 100 trades (expected)
Loss
-30%
Recovery needed
+42.9%
Difficulty
Hard
At 10% gains per trade you need 5 consecutive wins just to break even.
Recovery % vs Loss % — Exponential Relationship
Point of no return: below 70% drawdown. A 80% loss requires a +400% gain. A 90% loss requires +900%. This is why prop firms enforce a 10% max drawdown rule — beyond that, mathematical recovery becomes statistically impossible within a trading day.
5 Biases That Destroy Trading Accounts
Psychology Risk Self-Assessment — Answer Honestly
Psychology Risk Score
0/5
Good — Low psychological risk
Answers saved to localStorage automatically.
How much gain is needed to recover from a loss
Key Insight: A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even.
Formula: Recovery Needed = DD% / (1 - DD%) × 100
Calculate Your Recovery
25% / (1 - 25%) × 100 = 33.33%
Why Prop Firms Use a 10% Max Drawdown Rule
At 10% drawdown, a trader only needs an 11.1% gain to recover — a realistic target. Beyond 20%, recovery requires progressively larger percentage wins, compounding the psychological and statistical challenge. Prop firms set 10% DD limits to ensure traders remain within recoverable territory.
Self-assessment — answers saved locally
Do you move stop losses to avoid taking losses?
Do you double position size after losing trades?
Do you exit profitable trades too early out of fear?
Do you hold losing trades too long hoping for recovery?
Do you increase risk after a winning streak?
Answer all questions to see your psychology risk score.
Optimal position size via Kelly formula: K% = W − (1−W)/R
Range: 1.0 – 5.0
The Kelly Criterion gives the mathematically optimal fraction of capital to risk. Full Kelly is aggressive — most traders use Half-Kelly or Quarter-Kelly to reduce volatility. Never risk more than Kelly suggests.
Full Kelly
Mathematically optimal, high volatility
25.00%
$2500
Half Kelly
Recommended — balanced growth/risk
12.50%
$1250
Quarter Kelly
Conservative — very smooth equity curve
6.25%
$625
Estimate combined portfolio VaR across 2–4 positions
XAUUSD volatility profile & position size multiplier by trading session
08:00–17:00 UTC
Highest XAUUSD liquidity. Major institutional flow. Strong trending moves possible.
13:00–22:00 UTC
USD-driven volatility. London/NY overlap (13–17 UTC) is peak liquidity for Gold.
00:00–09:00 UTC
Reduced Gold volatility. Range-bound sessions common. Avoid large positions.
22:00–07:00 UTC
Thin Gold market. Liquidity gaps possible. Not recommended for breakout strategies.
Session volatility profiles are based on documented XAUUSD market behavior. London/NY overlap (13–17 UTC) typically shows the highest intraday range. Position multipliers are educational guidelines — always apply your own risk management. This is not trading advice.
Live signal density analysis — updated every 60s
Signal Activity Risk
LOW
Low Signal Activity. Market may be ranging or quiet.
Signals / Hour
0
XAUUSD only
Phase Conc.
0%
A3/A4/D3/D4
XAUUSD Sigs
0
total loaded
UTC 13:xx — current session highlighted
Sydney
21:00 – 00:00 UTC
Tokyo
00:00 – 09:00 UTC
London
07:00 – 16:00 UTC
NY Overlap
13:00 – 17:00 UTC
Late NY
17:00 – 22:00 UTC
Risk levels reflect typical XAUUSD volatility and liquidity per session. Highest risk during NY/London overlap.
Upcoming high-impact events — refreshed every 5min
Events with importance ≥3 shown. Source: ESI calendar API.
Simulate consecutive loss scenarios with interactive sliders
Max Drawdown
2.97%
SAFE
Dollar loss: -$297
Formula: DD = (1 - (1 - r)^n) x 100% | Actuarial compounding model
R:R Ratio
—
Enter values
If $500 risked → $— profit potential at — R:R
| Instrument | Pip Value/lot | Position (lots) | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAUUSDGold | $10 | 0.20 | 20,000 |
| EURUSDEURUSD | $10 | 0.20 | 20,000 |
| GBPUSDGBPUSD | $10 | 0.20 | 20,000 |
Formula: Position = Risk$ ÷ (SL pips × pip value/lot)
Trading correlated pairs simultaneously multiplies your actual risk exposure.
Actuarial model showing estimated stop survival probability based on stop distance. Formula: survival = 100 − (pips × 0.3)
Estimated MAE Survival Probability
91.0%
at 30 pips stop
| Stop (pips) | Survival % | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 97.0% | LOW |
| 20 | 94.0% | LOW |
| 30 | 91.0% | LOW |
| 40 | 88.0% | LOW |
| 50 | 85.0% | LOW |
| 60 | 82.0% | LOW |
| 70 | 79.0% | MEDIUM |
| 80 | 76.0% | MEDIUM |
| 100 | 70.0% | MEDIUM |
| Timeframe | Stop Range | Risk Note |
|---|---|---|
| SCALPING | 15-25 pips | Very tight - only in high-liquidity conditions |
| INTRADAY | 30-60 pips | Allow for spread + minor retracement noise |
| SWING | 80-150 pips | Cover daily ATR; place beyond key structure levels |
| LONG_TERM | 200-400 pips | Weekly ATR range; wider SL, proportionally smaller lot |
For Gold (XAU): multiply pip values by ~10
e.g. SCALPING 15-25 pips → 150-250 points on XAUUSD
Max loss per trade
$100
1.0% of $10,000
Adjust your lot size until SL hit = this dollar amount
Asia Open
00:00 – 03:00 UTC
Asia / London
03:00 – 07:00 UTC
London Open
07:00 – 09:30 UTC
London Mid
09:30 – 13:30 UTC
NY Open + Overlap
13:30 – 15:30 UTC
NY Mid
15:30 – 17:00 UTC
NY Late
17:00 – 20:00 UTC
NY Close / Asia Pre
20:00 – 24:00 UTC
Now: London Mid — Risk level: MODERATE
All times in UTC. Highlights your current trading session.
Multiplier
Expected Move
75.0 pts
ATR 50 × 1.5x multiplier
Conservative (1x)
50.0 pts
Aggressive (2.5x)
125.0 pts
ATR-based estimation. Not a price target. Use as a guide for TP/SL placement only.
No Risk News
risk-relevant articles in last 2h
Simulate consecutive loss scenarios with interactive sliders
Max Drawdown
2.97%
SAFE
Dollar loss: -$297
Formula: DD = (1 - (1 - r)^n) x 100% | Actuarial compounding model
NY-London Overlap Session
Very High Volatility
Highest volatility of the day
Major news releases
Best entry opportunities for XAUUSD
All Sessions
Asian
Low
London
High
NY-London Overlap
Very High
New York
Medium
| Losses | Remaining Equity | Drawdown % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | $10,000 | — | OK |
| 1 | $9,900 | -1% | OK |
| 2 | $9,801 | -1.99% | OK |
| 3 | $9,703 | -2.97% | OK |
| 4 | $9,606 | -3.94% | OK |
| 5 | $9,510 | -4.9% | OK |
Compound loss simulation. Each loss reduces equity by the risk % of remaining balance. Educational only.
Last 8 signals with risk classification by timeframe.
Source: /api/signals · 30s refresh · Risk level = timeframe classification
Top 3 active instruments by signal count (last 2h) and their USD directional exposure.
Source: /api/signals · 60s · Last 2h · Educational only.
Risk classification and ATR multiplier recommendation per timeframe (last 4h).
Source: /api/signals · 60s · ATR multipliers: XAUUSD guidelines · Educational.
Counts unique instruments with active signals (last 2h). Max recommended: 3 positions.
Source: /api/signals · 30s · Last 2h · Educational only.
Day-by-day risk assessment based on high-impact calendar events this week.
Source: /api/alerts?type=calendar · 60s · Educational only.
For XAUUSD: $1 move = $1 per contract (per oz). Enter levels to compute risk:reward.
Risk (pts)
10.00
Reward (pts)
30.00
R:R Ratio
1 : 3.00
Break-Even WR
25.0%
Pure math · No API · XAUUSD-focused · Educational only.
Choose your trading risk profile to see recommended parameters for each style.
Moderate Profile
Max Risk / Trade
1–2% per trade
Max Open Positions
2–3 open
Preferred Timeframes
INTRADAY, SWING
Stop-Loss Type
ATR-based or fixed SL
No API \u00b7 Educational only. Risk profiles are illustrative, not financial advice.
Upcoming events (next 7 days) with predicted XAUUSD impact and risk action recommendation.
Source: /api/alerts?type=calendar \u00b7 60s \u00b7 Educational only.
Real-time volatility monitoring: signal velocity spikes + imminent high-impact events.
Sources: /api/signals \u00b7 /api/alerts?type=calendar \u00b7 30s \u00b7 Educational only.
Configure your daily loss budget and per-trade risk to track remaining capacity.
Max Daily Loss
$300
Risk Per Trade
$100
Max Trades Today
3
Min R:R for 2R Target
2.0R
Budget Used: 0 trades
Remaining: $300
No API \u00b7 Pure math \u00b7 Educational only. Not financial advice.
High-impact calendar events that require reducing position size or avoiding new entries.
Source: /api/alerts?type=calendar \u00b7 HIGH impact = reduce size by 50%+.
Suggested stop-loss distance based on Average True Range. Relative distances only \u2014 not absolute prices.
TP1 (1.5R)
40.50000
distance
TP2 (2.0R)
54.00000
distance
TP3 (3.0R)
81.00000
distance
ATR values are daily averages (reference). Relative distances only \u2014 not absolute price levels.
Allocate your capital across signal groups. Target total = 100%.
Allocation stored in memory only. No API. For planning purposes only.
Last completed signals from automated tracking system.
Source: /api/signal-results \u00b7 Auto-tracked WIN/LOSS/ACTIVE results.
Drawdown thresholds by risk profile. Match to your account rules.
Moderate
10%
Max Drawdown
2%
Daily Max Loss
5%
Weekly Max Loss
Stop trading if account drops 10% from peak
Reduce size by 50% if daily loss reaches 1%
No new positions if weekly loss exceeds 5%
No API \u00b7 Profile-based thresholds \u00b7 Adjust to your prop firm rules.
Real-time session volatility alerts based on UTC time and calendar data.
NY Open Active
High activity. Whipsaw risk on entries.
NY-London Overlap Active
Peak activity. Confirm direction before entering.
Session windows: UTC-based \u00b7 Calendar: /api/alerts?type=calendar.
Detects when too many active signals cluster in the same instrument \u2014 correlation risk.
Source: /api/signals \u00b7 30%+ concentration = HIGH risk \u00b7 Diversify across instruments.
Summary of tracked signal results: loss rate, win/loss ratio, overall risk state.
Source: /api/signal-results?summary=true \u00b7 All-time data \u00b7 Auto-tracked.